Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Security & Risk

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Annie Duke· Published 2018

Using poker strategies to separate the quality of a decision from the quality of the outcome, helping leaders embrace uncertainty.

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Why It's On My Shelf

Duke introduces a disciplined way to think about uncertainty and probability, which is essential in security and technology investment decisions. Outcomes alone are a poor measure of judgment in environments shaped by chance. CIOs can apply this thinking when evaluating risk tradeoffs, funding security initiatives, or reviewing incidents without falling into hindsight bias.

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